The gas-vs-heat-pump math in Colorado — closer than you think
At $1.16/therm and $0.17/kWh, the gas-vs-heat-pump operating comparison is within $200-$400 per year for a typical Front Range home. A 2,000 sqft home burning 1,400 therms per winter at 90% AFUE spends about $1,624 on gas. A cold-climate heat pump serving the same load uses roughly 13,000 kWh — about $2,210 at $0.17/kWh. The $586 annual gap does not pay back a $10,000-$15,000 installation on its own. But this is the wrong way to think about Colorado. The right question is: what if those 13,000 kWh came from solar at $0.06-$0.10/kWh instead of the grid at $0.17? At $0.08/kWh (solar amortized), the heat pump's annual cost drops to $1,040 — $584 cheaper than gas. This inversion is the Colorado story.