Why Connecticut's $0.30/kWh electric rate dominates the heat pump math
Connecticut's residential electricity rate of $0.30/kWh (EIA March 2026) is among the top three in the continental US, driven by Northeast wholesale market prices, high distribution costs, and public policy charges including the state's renewable portfolio standard and nuclear generation support payments. At this rate, a cold-climate heat pump (HSPF 10+) heating a 2,000 sqft home uses about 8,500-11,000 kWh for $2,550-$3,300 per year. A 90% AFUE gas furnace for the same home burns 1,100-1,500 therms at $1.96/therm for $2,156-$2,940 per year — $400-$500 less per year than the heat pump in most scenarios. The operating-cost gap means gas-heated Connecticut homes won't see fuel savings from switching to a heat pump. The decision hinges on RSIP rebates on the installation side, avoided AC replacement cost, and the probability that Connecticut electric rates are more volatile than gas rates (winter 2022-2023 saw a rate spike to $0.33/kWh that shocked homeowners). For oil-heated homes, the math is different — see the next section.