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Heat Pump Cost in Wisconsin (2026)

Wisconsin's $0.95/therm natural gas makes it the toughest heat-pump case in the Midwest — but propane and oil homes are a different story.

Wisconsin heats with cheap natural gas: 63% of homes use utility gas (ACS B25040), and at $0.95/therm (EIA March 2026), it's the cheapest gas in the Midwest and among the cheapest in the country. This makes the heat-pump-vs-gas comparison more challenging than in Minnesota, where gas is $1.43/therm. At $0.19/kWh, a cold-climate heat pump (HSPF 10+) costs roughly $2,200-$2,800/yr to heat a 2,000 sqft home, versus about $1,450-$1,950/yr for a 90% AFUE gas furnace — a $400-$800 annual gap in gas's favor. For homes on propane (roughly 10%) or fuel oil (roughly 5%), the math flips: those fuels cost 2-3x more than gas and a heat pump saves $1,500-$2,500/yr. We Energies serves the Milwaukee metro area and southeastern Wisconsin. Wisconsin Public Service (WPS) covers Green Bay and the Fox Valley. Alliant Energy serves Madison and southwestern Wisconsin. The Focus on Energy statewide program offers a $500/system heat pump rebate — verify current terms at dsireusa.org. Federal Section 25C expired December 31, 2025.

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Reviewedby RenewableCalc Data Team

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Heating Fuel Mix — Wisconsin

Primary heating fuel by occupied housing unit. Source: Census ACS B25040 (2019–2023). Climate zone: cold. Residential gas: $0.95/therm (EIA Mar 2026).

Utility Gas
63%
Electricity
17%
Fuel Oil
5%
Propane
10%

Overview

Wisconsin heats with cheap natural gas: 63% of homes use utility gas (ACS B25040), and at $0.95/therm (EIA March 2026), it's the cheapest gas in the Midwest and among the cheapest in the country. This makes the heat-pump-vs-gas comparison more challenging than in Minnesota, where gas is $1.43/therm. At $0.19/kWh, a cold-climate heat pump (HSPF 10+) costs roughly $2,200-$2,800/yr to heat a 2,000 sqft home, versus about $1,450-$1,950/yr for a 90% AFUE gas furnace — a $400-$800 annual gap in gas's favor. For homes on propane (roughly 10%) or fuel oil (roughly 5%), the math flips: those fuels cost 2-3x more than gas and a heat pump saves $1,500-$2,500/yr. We Energies serves the Milwaukee metro area and southeastern Wisconsin. Wisconsin Public Service (WPS) covers Green Bay and the Fox Valley. Alliant Energy serves Madison and southwestern Wisconsin. The Focus on Energy statewide program offers a $500/system heat pump rebate — verify current terms at dsireusa.org. Federal Section 25C expired December 31, 2025.

Use this result

Use the calculator inputs first, then compare the result against local rates, incentives, roof conditions, and utility export rules.

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Calculation Method

Wisconsin heat pump comparison = gas furnace cost ($0.95/therm at 90% AFUE) vs. cold-climate heat pump ($0.19/kWh at HSPF 10) at very-cold design load. Focus on Energy rebate $500/system narrows installed cost gap modestly.

Key Assumptions

  • Heating fuel breakdown: 63% utility gas, 17% electricity, 5% fuel oil, 10% propane (ACS B25040 2019–2023).
  • Design temperature -10°F to -15°F; cold-climate heat pump (HSPF 10+) required for full winter coverage.
  • Wisconsin has the cheapest natural gas in the Midwest at $0.95/therm, making the gas-vs-heat-pump comparison tighter than in any neighboring state.
  • Focus on Energy rebate is $500/system — verify current amount at dsireusa.org.

Data Sources

Heating fuel mix

ACS B25040 (2019-2023)

63% utility gas dominant; 17% electricity includes both resistance and heat pumps.

Electricity and gas rates

EIA March 2026

Residential electricity $0.19/kWh; natural gas $0.95/therm.

Climate zone

ASHRAE / IECC

Wisconsin is classified as very-cold (zone 6-7).

State incentives

DSIRE and Focus on Energy

Verify current rebate amounts at dsireusa.org.

Formula Assumptions Data Sources FAQ Related Links

Why Wisconsin's gas is so cheap — and what it means for heat pumps

At $0.95/therm, Wisconsin's residential natural gas rate is roughly 34% lower than Minnesota's ($1.43) and 55% lower than the national average. This isn't an anomaly — Wisconsin benefits from abundant Midwest supply, well-developed pipeline infrastructure, and a regulatory environment that has kept distribution costs low. A typical Wisconsin home burning 1,400 therms per winter spends about $1,330 on gas heat. A cold-climate heat pump for the same home uses about 12,500 kWh at $0.19/kWh — roughly $2,375. The annual operating gap of $1,045 means a heat pump will not pay back on fuel savings alone. For gas-heated Wisconsin homes, the heat pump decision depends entirely on non-fuel factors: dual-system replacement timing, AC needs, and personal electrification goals.

The propane and fuel oil opportunity in rural Wisconsin

About 15% of Wisconsin homes — disproportionately in rural areas — heat with propane or fuel oil. These fuels cost significantly more than utility gas per unit of delivered heat. A propane-heated home spending $2,000-$3,000 per winter can save $1,500-$2,500 annually by switching to a cold-climate heat pump, even at Wisconsin's $0.19/kWh rate. Fuel oil savings are similar. This is the clear win scenario in Wisconsin: if you fuel-switch off propane or oil, a heat pump pays back in 3-5 years even with the modest $500 Focus on Energy rebate. Rural electric cooperatives may offer additional incentives — check with your specific co-op.

Focus on Energy: a modest but real rebate

Wisconsin's Focus on Energy program offers $500 per qualifying heat pump system — significantly less than Minnesota's utility-specific rebates, Vermont's $5,000 cap, or Maine's incentive structure. At $500, it covers a fraction of the typical $8,000-$16,000 installation cost. The program is statewide and applies uniformly across We Energies, WPS, and Alliant Energy territory, which simplifies the process but limits the financial incentive. The rebate helps on the margin but will not make or break the heat-pump decision. Verify current Focus on Energy terms at dsireusa.org.

We Energies, WPS, and Alliant Energy territory

Wisconsin's three major investor-owned utilities divide the state geographically. We Energies serves Milwaukee, Racine, Kenosha, and the southeastern corridor — the state's largest urban concentration. Wisconsin Public Service (WPS) covers Green Bay, the Fox Valley (Appleton, Oshkosh), and northeastern Wisconsin including Door County. Alliant Energy serves Madison, Janesville, and much of southwestern and central Wisconsin. Each utility has different rate structures and time-of-use options. We Energies has proposed TOU pilots that could offer lower off-peak rates for heat pump owners. Check your utility's current rate schedules before running the heat-pump numbers.

Is a dual-fuel setup the smart play in Wisconsin?

For gas-heated Wisconsin homes, a dual-fuel system — cold-climate heat pump for shoulder seasons and moderate cold, gas furnace for extreme cold — can optimize around cheap gas. The heat pump runs efficiently at 20°F and above (COP 2.5-3.5), handling 70-80% of annual heating hours. The gas furnace takes over below 10-15°F, where $0.95/therm gas beats $0.19/kWh electricity on operating cost. This setup costs more to install (you're keeping both systems) but yields the lowest possible operating cost. For propane or oil homes, skip the dual-fuel complexity — a standalone cold-climate heat pump with electric backup is the simpler and cheaper path.

Use the Heat Pump Cost & Savings Calculator

Frequently Asked Questions

No — Wisconsin's $0.95/therm gas is the cheapest in the Midwest, and a 90% AFUE gas furnace costs $400-$800 less per year to run than a cold-climate heat pump at $0.19/kWh. For gas-heated homes, a heat pump doesn't pay back on operating cost. It only makes sense as a dual-fuel optimization or when both furnace and AC need replacement.